Why the Options Market Is the Most Honest Place in Finance
The cash market lets stories breathe. A stretched stock can stay stretched, and a bad result can be called temporary for longer than anyone expected. Options are less generous. If you want protection before budget day or an RBI meeting, you have to pay the price today.
That price is implied volatility. It does not tell you what will happen. It gives the price of being wrong. Retail traders often miss that distinction. The weekly option looks like a cheap ticket to a big move. The market usually treats it as an expiring claim with a buyer who has to be right quickly.